Un articol de pe Reuters

Iata un articol foarte interesant pe care l-am gasit pe Reuters si care, cred, merita sa fie citit:

FACTBOX-Key political risks to watch in Romania

By Sam Cage

BUCHAREST | Fri Oct 1, 2010 6:52am EDT

Articolul precizeaza:

"Oct 1 (Reuters) - Recession-hit Romania, the European Union's second-poorest member, is having to take increasingly tough measures to stick within strict International Monetary Fund requirements for an economic bailout package."

Dar la fiecare punct al articolului citat mai sus este un asa numit "What to watch". Iata care sunt acestea:

" -- Will the opposition succeed in challenging the government's public sector pay cuts and tax hike in parliament or the country's constitutional court?

-- Will Romania succeed in bringing the budget deficit within the IMF target for 2010?

-- Will it sign a fresh deal with the IMF when the current agreement expires? President Traian Basescu said last month it aimed for a precautionary agreement in April but added Romania did not need more cash from the IMF.

-- The opposition aims to file a fresh no-confidence motion in Boc's government, which it could probably win -- though it may prefer not to take power at such a difficult time when more spending cuts and unpopular reforms are needed. A defeat for the government would cause a full-blown political crisis and probably send markets into freefall. [ID:nLDE65E06I]

-- Coalition partners, particularly independents, could withdraw support for Boc, meaning he would have to negotiate legislation -- including badly-needed judicial reforms -- on a bill-by-bill basis.

-- Will the central bank start tightening monetary policy due to fear of the rise in VAT pushing up inflation? It may also intervene in markets to prevent sharp swings in the leu.

-- Will higher prices dampen spending and delay recovery?

-- Any sign of Greek banks pulling in their horns to shore up their own balance sheets. Romania has borrowed some $19 billion from Greek banks, equivalent to some 14 percent of total 2009 gross domestic product.

-- Can unions can gain enough backing for general strikes to extend them beyond one day? Short-term action is unlikely to have a significant impact on markets but a prolonged national strike -- possible if resentment grows -- would raise pressure on the government and finances and eventually dent asset prices.

-- Will prosecutors convict a top-level official for corruption, thus sending an important signal that graft will no longer be tolerated? This would probably not move asset prices in the short term but would send an important signal that Romania is becoming an easier place to do business."